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British Pound/U.S. Dollar (^GBPUSD)

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British Pound/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Index Shows Weekly Decline as Fundamentals Remain Weak

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday ended the day little changed, but fell about -0.6% on the week.  The dollar traded on a weak note despite Tuesday's stronger-than-expected US GDP report of +4.3% and the reduced odds for Fed easing.  The markets initially reduced the odds for a -25 bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting to 13% from 20% after Tuesday’s GDP report, but the odds have since crept higher to the current level of 20%.

The dollar continues to see underlying weakness as the FOMC is expected to cut interest rates by about -50 bp in 2026, while the BOJ is expected to raise rates by another +25 bp in 2026, and the ECB is expected to leave rates unchanged in 2026. 

The dollar is also under pressure as the Fed boosts liquidity in the financial system, having begun purchasing $40 billion a month in T-bills in mid-December.  The dollar is also being undercut by concerns that President Trump intends to appoint a dovish Fed Chair, which would be bearish for the dollar.  Mr... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Dec 16, 2025

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
106,912 (-106,352)
56,503 (-72,479)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
61,968 (+1,649)
110,466 (-25,368)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
74,074 (-81,595)
3,699 (-44,117)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
39,043 (+5,233)
121,684 (-17,744)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
51,009 (-3,220)
36,461 (-11,300)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
556 (+65)
927 (+500)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.31798 +2.39%
on 12/02/25
1.35342 -0.29%
on 12/24/25
+0.02531 (+1.91%)
since 11/26/25
3-Month
1.30103 +3.73%
on 11/05/25
1.35342 -0.29%
on 12/24/25
+0.00943 (+0.70%)
since 09/26/25
52-Week
1.21004 +11.53%
on 01/13/25
1.37886 -2.13%
on 07/01/25
+0.09688 (+7.73%)
since 12/26/24

Most Recent Stories

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GBPUSD Extends Rally As Bullish Impulse Builds

Cable is coming nicely to the upside, pushing well above the 1.3251 level and trendline resistance, and also breaking out of the base channel. This suggests we are in a third leg, and if this is wave three...

Aussie Dollar Poised for Upside as Trendline Break Signals Shift

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Silver: December Highs, Gold and Miners: December Lows

The silver disconnection is real.

EURNZD May Have Topped

EURNZD May Have Topped, as we see a completed five-wave impulse within 5th wave from technical point of view and by Elliott wave model.

Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 56% Buy with a Weakening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

Long term indicators fully support a continuation of the trend.

See More Share

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.34957
2nd Resistance Point 1.34957
1st Resistance Point 1.34957
Last Price 1.34986
1st Support Level 1.34957
2nd Support Level 1.34957
3rd Support Level 1.34957

See More

52-Week High 1.37886
Last Price 1.34986
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.31437
Fibonacci 50% 1.29445
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.27453
52-Week Low 1.21004

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